Tuesday, November 22, 2016

Public Policy in an Uncertain World: Analysis and Decisions by Charles F. Manski *Books Online »PDF

Public Policy in an Uncertain World: Analysis and Decisions In the current model, policy researchers base their predictions on strong assumptions. But as Manski demonstrates, strong. Public Policy in an Uncertain World critiques the status quo and offe


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Public Policy in an Uncertain World: Analysis and Decisions

Title:Public Policy in an Uncertain World: Analysis and Decisions
Author:Charles F. Manski
Rating:4.58 (129 Votes)
Asin:0674066898
Format Type:Hardcover
Number of Pages:224 Pages
Publish Date:2013-02-18
Genre:

Public policy advocates routinely assert that “research has shown” a particular policy to be desirable. But how reliable is the analysis in the research they invoke? And how does that analysis affect the way policy is made, on issues ranging from vaccination to minimum wage to FDA drug approval? Charles Manski argues here that current policy is based on untrustworthy analysis. By failing to account for uncertainty in an unpredictable world, policy analysis misleads policy makers with expressions of certitude. Public Policy in an Uncertain World critiques the status quo and offers an innovation to improve how policy research is conducted and how policy makers use research.Consumers of policy analysis, whether civil servants, journalists, or concerned citizens, need to understand research methodology well enough to properly assess reported findings. In the current model, policy researchers base their predictions on strong assumptions. But as Manski demonstrates, strong

Editorial : To academic readers steeped in economics and decision theory, Manski's account is likely to be of some interest. It includes many useful and important insights (for example, the distinctions among policies based on the principles of 'maximin,' 'minimax,' and 'adaptive mini-max' regret) that have substantial implications for real-world policy. (Brian Baird Science 2013-04-26)

Invited in August 1944 to join the Moore School, University of Pennsylvania, team responsible for ENIAC, the world's first general purpose computer being built for the US Army, von Neumann was quickly brought up to speed courtesy of the machine's lead engineers, J. A beautiful arrangement. The author who was given a glimpse inside the aforementioned organization sensed Turing's vision of a gathering of all available answers and possible equations mapped out in this awe-inspiring facility. It's certainly the most detailed account of the IAS computer project that I have seen. Even for experienced, well-educated entrepreneurs like myself, it contains a lot of good reminders and explanations that can help people improve their existing business or to start a new one with a maximum chance of success. The charts and graphs are also excellent.

If this review was helpful, please add your vote.. The illustrations are terrific. The level of discussion is ideally suited for the general

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